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CMCSA

ComcastA
Nasdaq / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The adjusted EPS beat, 368,000 wireless line additions, Peacock profitability and $4.2 billion of quarterly free cash flow offer offsetting strengths. A well-executed separation could clarify the value of the connectivity and content businesses.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Broadband customer losses widened to 144,000 from 91,000 a year earlier; pricing and fiber competition threaten retention and ARPU. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
Momentum
30
Value
68
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $27.98
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d +11.1
Value68 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -4.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Broadband customer losses widened to 144,000 from 91,000 a year earlier; pricing and fiber competition threaten retention and ARPU. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
  • • Q3 adjusted EBITDA fell 5.8% and free cash flow fell 14.8% year over year; capital returns require durable cash generation. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22]
  • • Broadband losses widened year over year and exceeded the FactSet estimate cited by Reuters; domestic broadband revenue fell 4.7%.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Broadband losses offset the Q3 earnings beat

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
30
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.1
Δ21d
+19.8
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
-14.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 30.0 / Value 68.2 / Sentiment 59.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$78.3B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
3.55B
P/E (TTM)
4.7
P/S (TTM)
0.83
P/FCF (TTM)
7.73
Rev YoY
-1.2%
EPS YoY
-66.9%
Gross Margin
+56.8%
Op Margin
+14.9%
Net Debt
$95.55B
Current Ratio
0.80
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data