B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CMCSA
ComcastBNasdaq / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print exceeded consensus on adjusted EPS and revenue, while record wireless additions, first-time Peacock profitability, business-services growth, and strong free cash flow provide credible operating positives. If these gains convert into broadband and margin stabilization, CMCSA could move toward the stored median target of $30.619.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.5.
What can break
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA declined 13.4%, while connectivity capital expenditures rose 19.9% year over year [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
Momentum
67
Value
69
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $25.00 · Bull $31.00 · Bear $19.00Analysis 2026-07-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.10
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d -14.5
Value69 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +5.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Consolidated adjusted EBITDA declined 13.4%, while connectivity capital expenditures rose 19.9% year over year [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23].
- • Domestic broadband still lost 167,000 customers and faces fiber and fixed-wireless competition.
- • The market reaction remained negative because broadband losses, video pressure, elevated connectivity investment, and declining adjusted EBITDA remain unresolved.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-26
Wireless, broadband, and Peacock milestones require follow-through
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
67
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.5
Δ21d
+15.5
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.5
Δ21d
+1.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 67.4 / Value 68.8 / Sentiment 65.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$90.74B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
3.55B
P/E (TTM)
4.7
P/S (TTM)
0.83
P/FCF (TTM)
7.73
Rev YoY
-1.2%
EPS YoY
-66.9%
Gross Margin
+56.8%
Op Margin
+14.9%
Net Debt
$95.55B
Current Ratio
0.80
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data