B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$345.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CLS
CelesticaCNYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 revenue of $4.70 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.54 exceeded Celestica's own guidance highs. Management raised its 2026 revenue outlook from $19.0 billion to $20.5 billion and adjusted EPS outlook from $10.15 to $11.30, citing stronger demand visibility and improved supply.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -11.4.
What can break
Component shortages and construction, utility or power delays could raise costs or leave added capacity underused. [#10-Q-2026-07-27] SEC 10-Q
Momentum
38
Value
51
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $285.00 · Bull $345.00 · Bear $210.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $465.31
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -37.0
Value51 · Δ7d +1.1
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -11.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -11.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Component shortages and construction, utility or power delays could raise costs or leave added capacity underused. [#10-Q-2026-07-27] SEC 10-Q
- • Customer concentration and changing data-center capacity roadmaps could weaken demand or delay program ramps. [#PR-2026-07-27] company release
- • The outlook depends on concentrated data-center demand, timely components and capacity ramps.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-26
Q3 results test the raised outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-37.0
Δ21d
-42.4
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+2.2
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.4
Δ21d
+11.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 38.4 / Value 51.0 / Sentiment 61.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$32.87B
Beta
1.46
Shares Out
126.11M
P/E (TTM)
47.6
P/S (TTM)
2.99
P/FCF (TTM)
84.73
Rev YoY
+62.4%
EPS YoY
+74.3%
Gross Margin
+11.5%
Op Margin
+8.4%
Net Debt
$320.1M
Current Ratio
1.23
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data