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CelesticaC
NYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes successful program ramps, steady margin expansion, and multiple re-rating to premium EMS valuations; execution of large customer programs and improved mix drive the move toward the analyst high.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Execution delays on new contracts
Momentum
21
Value
51
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $372.36 · Bull $440.00 · Bear $280.00Analysis 2026-01-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $467.45
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d +2.6
Value51 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -10.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Execution delays on new contracts
  • Macro-driven OEM order cuts
  • Bear case assumes a prolonged OEM demand slowdown or loss of key programs, compressing volumes and margins and pushing the stock toward lower analyst estimates.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-29

Q4 / FY2025 earnings and guidance update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
+2.8
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.1
Δ21d
-7.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 21.1 / Value 50.8 / Sentiment 61.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$440.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$372.36
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$280.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$39.08B
Beta
1.46
Shares Out
114.98M
P/E (TTM)
47.6
P/S (TTM)
2.99
P/FCF (TTM)
84.73
Rev YoY
+62.4%
EPS YoY
+74.3%
Gross Margin
+11.5%
Op Margin
+8.4%
Net Debt
$320.1M
Current Ratio
1.23
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data