B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CL
Colgate-PalmoliveDNYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Execution of cost-savings and stronger EM volume drives margin expansion and multiple re-rating toward premium consumer-staples comps; upside captured if growth and pricing resilience continue.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
What can break
Disappointing cost-savings execution
Momentum
60
Value
49
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $88.84 · Bull $100.00 · Bear $75.00Analysis 2026-01-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
21 · Non-qualifying
Next 2026-10-30 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Earnings Setup
As of 2026-10-26 • RankAlpha AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $98.68
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d +20.6
Value49 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment50 · Δ7d +0.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Earnings surprise screen
21Non-qualifying2026-10-30 bmo
CL has an established EPS beat history and management's 2026 outlook reportedly exceeds Street expectations, but no positive current-quarter revision or revenue upside signal was verified; tape and volume evidence was insufficient to support a pre-event surprise setup.
Screen as of 2026-10-26. Window 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-30.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
- • Pre-earnings setup: 21 / non-qualifying.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Disappointing cost-savings execution
- • Margin compression from input/currency pressures
- • Slower-than-expected organic growth, currency headwinds, or weaker cost-savings realization compress margins and push the stock toward the low end of analyst targets.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-30 · BMO
FY2025 / Q4 earnings release (assumed window)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
60
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+20.6
Δ21d
+24.6
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-19.8
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 59.6 / Value 48.8 / Sentiment 49.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-23. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
65%
Probability
Target price
$88.84
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$75.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$74.97B
Beta
0.28
Shares Out
797.17M
P/E (TTM)
21.6
P/S (TTM)
3.09
P/FCF (TTM)
38.07
Rev YoY
+4.9%
EPS YoY
-5.4%
Gross Margin
+60.4%
Op Margin
+21.8%
Net Debt
$7.16B
Current Ratio
1.03
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data