B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.04
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CHSN
Chanson InternationalFNasdaq / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The best fundamental support is the FY2025 margin improvement: gross margin reached 45.0%, seasonal products grew strongly, and management says product, marketing, and inventory actions are helping [#PR-2026-04-20]. If those gains hold while planned store openings remain disciplined, CHSN could stabilize from a distressed base.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
China operating structure and VIE-related regulatory and cash-transfer constraints remain material structural risks [#424B5-2026-01-07].
Momentum
83
Value
45
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.03 · Bull $0.04 · Bear $0.01Analysis 2026-05-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d -
Value45 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • China operating structure and VIE-related regulatory and cash-transfer constraints remain material structural risks [#424B5-2026-01-07].
- • Form 20-F disclosed substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern within one year [#20F-2026-04-20].
- • The stronger counterpoint is financing and balance-sheet risk: the ATM facility is very large relative to market cap, the 20-F disclosed negative working capital and substantial doubt about continuing as a going concern, and the China/VIE structure adds regulatory and cash-movement complexity [#424B5-2026-01-07] [#20F-2026-04-20].
Catalyst clock
2026-06-30
ATM capacity remains the clearest near-term stock overhang
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 83.5 / Value 45.5 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.03
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.01
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4M
Beta
-
Shares Out
3.64M
P/E (TTM)
1331.3
P/S (TTM)
4.37
P/FCF (TTM)
57.07
Rev YoY
+15.2%
EPS YoY
-2003.5%
Gross Margin
+45.0%
Op Margin
-10.3%
Net Debt
$4.6M
Current Ratio
0.81
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data