RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

CHRN

ChronoScaleC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull case depends on successful execution of the cloud-only AI compute strategy, capacity expansion, utilization, and pricing. Company materials describe ChronoScale as an accelerated-compute platform and Applied Digital retained approximately 97% ownership after the separation.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.9.
What can break
AI infrastructure growth depends on customer acquisition, capacity delivery, financing, utilization, and pricing execution.
Momentum
58
Value
35
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.50 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-07-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-19 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $49.75
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d -31.7
Value35 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +7.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI infrastructure growth depends on customer acquisition, capacity delivery, financing, utilization, and pricing execution.
  • • Approximately 97% ownership by Applied Digital creates concentration, governance, liquidity, and float risks. [#IR-2026-05-05]
  • • The deterministic prior is negative, and the scheduled earnings trigger has not produced a verified CHRN print.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Cloud-only operating transition

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
58
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-31.7
Δ21d
-33.2
Value
35
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.9
Δ21d
+29.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 58.4 / Value 35.1 / Sentiment 63.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-19
Market Cap
$3.22B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
145.22M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-61.2
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-4.95
Rev YoY
-36.6%
EPS YoY
+19.3%
Gross Margin
+52.9%
Op Margin
-134.1%
Net Debt
$112.91M
Current Ratio
1.55
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data