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CHRN

ChronoScaleC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case depends on successful execution of the cloud-only AI compute strategy, capacity expansion, utilization, and pricing. Company materials describe ChronoScale as an accelerated-compute platform and Applied Digital retained approximately 97% ownership after the separation.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26.
What can break
AI infrastructure growth depends on customer acquisition, capacity delivery, financing, utilization, and pricing execution.
Momentum
10
Value
35
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.50 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-07-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-26
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $28.50
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d -8.0
Value35 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI infrastructure growth depends on customer acquisition, capacity delivery, financing, utilization, and pricing execution.
  • • Approximately 97% ownership by Applied Digital creates concentration, governance, liquidity, and float risks. [#IR-2026-05-05]
  • • The deterministic prior is negative, and the scheduled earnings trigger has not produced a verified CHRN print.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-26

Cloud-only operating transition

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-8.0
Δ21d
-62.3
Value
35
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
80
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
+25.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 10.4 / Value 35.0 / Sentiment 80.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.15B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
145.64M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-40.7
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-3.30
Rev YoY
-36.6%
EPS YoY
+19.3%
Gross Margin
+52.9%
Op Margin
-134.1%
Net Debt
$112.91M
Current Ratio
1.55
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data