CHRD

Chord EnergyC

Nasdaq / Energy

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

The bull case is that Chord’s 1Q26 beat was not just a one-off: oil volumes exceeded guidance, capex and LOE were controlled, adjusted free cash flow stayed strong, and FY26 oil guidance moved higher without a capex increase. That combination supports continued dividends and buybacks if execution holds.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

What can break

Commodity dependence remains high; weaker oil realizations or softer NGL pricing can offset production gains.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $136.00 · Bull $152.00 · Bear $118.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-06-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $165.75

Why

Momentum34 · Δ7d +19.9

Value62 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment55 · Δ7d -9.1

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+19.9

Δ21d

-7.0

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

-0.5

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-9.1

Δ21d

-15.8

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 34.1 / Value 62.3 / Sentiment 54.6

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$7.55B

Beta

0.90

Shares Out

56.3M

P/E (TTM)

30.9

P/S (TTM)

1.00

P/FCF (TTM)

10.51

Rev YoY

+37.1%

EPS YoY

-48.2%

Gross Margin

+16.0%

Op Margin

+7.1%

Net Debt

$1.32B

Current Ratio

1.02

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology