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CHRD

Chord EnergyA
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter oil volumes reached 165.4 thousand barrels per day near the top of guidance, capital spending was modestly below its guidance midpoint, and adjusted free cash flow was $414.1 million. Continued execution could support the planned higher cash-return rate.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Available peer candidates are loose, and the analyst-target sample size is unknown.
Momentum
77
Value
68
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $137.00 · Bull $165.00 · Bear $105.00Analysis 2026-10-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $181.83
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -5.6
Value68 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Available peer candidates are loose, and the analyst-target sample size is unknown.
  • • Oil-price weakness could reduce cash flow and shareholder returns.
  • • Returns remain sensitive to oil realizations and operating costs.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Third-quarter results will test the planned increase in shareholder returns

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
77
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.6
Δ21d
+10.7
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-28.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 77.2 / Value 68.5 / Sentiment 49.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$137.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$8.65B
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
54.7M
P/E (TTM)
30.9
P/S (TTM)
1.00
P/FCF (TTM)
10.51
Rev YoY
+84.0%
EPS YoY
-237.1%
Gross Margin
+20.8%
Op Margin
+18.9%
Net Debt
$1.32B
Current Ratio
1.22
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data