CHH
Choice Hotels InternationalDNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The primary release supports a cautious constructive view: record revenue, royalty-rate expansion, stronger openings, rising franchise awards, capital recycling, and sharply lower expected 2026 hotel-development outlays all fit management's more capital-efficient growth story [#8-K-2026-04-30].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
What can break
Adjusted diluted EPS dropped to $1.07 from $1.34 and adjusted EBITDA fell to $125.7 million from $129.6 million, with higher expenses and a temporarily elevated tax rate weighing on comparisons [#8-K-2026-04-30].
Momentum
38
Value
56
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $104.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $92.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $111.86
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -5.4
Value56 · Δ7d -0.8
Sentiment38 · Δ7d -4.7
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
38
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
-8.3
Value
56
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
38
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.7
Δ21d
-1.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 38.0 / Value 55.8 / Sentiment 38.3
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$5.09B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
45.5M
P/E (TTM)
12.2
P/S (TTM)
2.88
P/FCF (TTM)
62.72
Rev YoY
+2.3%
EPS YoY
-53.3%
Gross Margin
+48.9%
Op Margin
+29.2%
Net Debt
$1.98B
Current Ratio
0.95
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology