B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CGNX
CognexDNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: continued recovery in industrial automation spending plus successful roll‑out of higher‑margin vision/software offerings drives revenue and margin expansion; multiple re‑rating toward analyst high ($60) supported by structural AI/automation demand.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Cyclical downturn in industrial capex/orders could sharply reduce incoming orders and revenue visibility [#SERP-6].
Momentum
43
Value
49
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $47.20 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $33.00Analysis 2026-02-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $79.37
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d -1.3
Value49 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -3.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical downturn in industrial capex/orders could sharply reduce incoming orders and revenue visibility [#SERP-6].
- • Execution risk on new product and software rollouts could delay revenue recognition and margin expansion [#SERP-1].
- • Bear case: cyclical weakness in factory orders, pricing pressure from competitors, or execution delays on new offerings compress revenues and margins toward the low analyst range (~$33), keeping multiple under pressure.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-14
Next quarterly earnings release (est.)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-11.6
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
44
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.8
Δ21d
+8.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 43.2 / Value 48.9 / Sentiment 44.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$47.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$9.36B
Beta
1.53
Shares Out
168.22M
P/E (TTM)
57.7
P/S (TTM)
6.45
P/FCF (TTM)
39.23
Rev YoY
+16.9%
EPS YoY
+78.1%
Gross Margin
+68.9%
Op Margin
+21.9%
Net Debt
-$260.38M
Current Ratio
3.84
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data