B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CGNX
CognexDNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: continued recovery in industrial automation spending plus successful roll‑out of higher‑margin vision/software offerings drives revenue and margin expansion; multiple re‑rating toward analyst high ($60) supported by structural AI/automation demand.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Cyclical downturn in industrial capex/orders could sharply reduce incoming orders and revenue visibility [#SERP-6].
Momentum
47
Value
49
Sentiment
36
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $47.20 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $33.00Analysis 2026-02-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $80.05
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d -11.3
Value49 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment36 · Δ7d +0.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical downturn in industrial capex/orders could sharply reduce incoming orders and revenue visibility [#SERP-6].
- • Execution risk on new product and software rollouts could delay revenue recognition and margin expansion [#SERP-1].
- • Bear case: cyclical weakness in factory orders, pricing pressure from competitors, or execution delays on new offerings compress revenues and margins toward the low analyst range (~$33), keeping multiple under pressure.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-14
Next quarterly earnings release (est.)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
47
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.3
Δ21d
-25.8
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
36
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
+4.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 46.7 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 36.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$47.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.2B
Beta
1.53
Shares Out
168.22M
P/E (TTM)
57.7
P/S (TTM)
6.45
P/FCF (TTM)
39.23
Rev YoY
+16.9%
EPS YoY
+78.1%
Gross Margin
+68.9%
Op Margin
+21.9%
Net Debt
-$260.38M
Current Ratio
3.84
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data