CGAU

Centerra GoldA

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The bull case is that Q1 confirmed strong free-cash-flow generation, a strengthened cash balance, unchanged 2026 gold and copper guidance, and enough balance-sheet capacity to self-fund growth while continuing buybacks and dividends.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

What can break

Gold and copper guidance was maintained, but sustaining that outlook depends on continued production and cost execution at Mount Milligan and Öksüt.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $17.50 · Bull $23.00 · Bear $14.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $23.18

Why

Momentum54 · Δ7d -32.1

Value67 · Δ7d +0.5

Sentiment62 · Δ7d +4.7

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-32.1

Δ21d

-5.3

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.5

Δ21d

+0.6

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+4.7

Δ21d

+6.8

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 54.1 / Value 66.8 / Sentiment 61.9

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$3B

Beta

1.23

Shares Out

198.6M

P/E (TTM)

9.0

P/S (TTM)

2.32

P/FCF (TTM)

33.64

Rev YoY

+75.5%

EPS YoY

+173.5%

Gross Margin

+31.5%

Op Margin

+32.6%

Net Debt

-$522.11M

Current Ratio

2.41

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology