CF

CF IndustriesB

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

The bull case is that Q1 showed CF can still convert a tight nitrogen market into strong earnings and adjusted EBITDA, with pricing strength supported by global supply disruption and ongoing Blue Point progress [#8-K-2026-05-06] [#10-Q-2026-05-07]. If nitrogen pricing stays firm and buybacks continue, cash generation can remain very strong.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-06-02.

What can break

Blue Point remains capital intensive and execution-heavy, so delays or cost overruns would matter.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

6 · Net Bullish

AI TargetsBase $106.00 · Bull $125.00 · Bear $90.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Bullish

Target $97.81

Why

Momentum51 · Δ7d -22.7

Value70 · Δ7d +0.9

Sentiment50 · Δ7d +7.2

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-22.7

Δ21d

-25.1

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.9

Δ21d

+1.6

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+7.2

Δ21d

+14.2

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 50.6 / Value 70.0 / Sentiment 50.2

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-01

Market Cap

$17.41B

Beta

0.69

Shares Out

155.97M

P/E (TTM)

9.7

P/S (TTM)

1.86

P/FCF (TTM)

9.08

Rev YoY

+21.1%

EPS YoY

+41.7%

Gross Margin

+36.9%

Op Margin

+31.5%

Net Debt

$1.36B

Current Ratio

2.27

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology