CF
CF IndustriesANYSE / Materials
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
CF's low-cost North American asset base, very high ammonia utilization, and a still-tight global nitrogen market can keep realized pricing elevated, while Blue Point and low-carbon ammonia add longer-term optionality.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
What can break
About $170 million of Q1 earnings benefited from a litigation settlement, so reported EPS overstates recurring run-rate.
Momentum
73
Value
68
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $107.00 · Bull $130.00 · Bear $84.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $124.37
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d +15.8
Value68 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment43 · Δ7d -6.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
73
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.8
Δ21d
+70.5
Value
68
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-2.1
Sentiment
43
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.5
Δ21d
-14.6
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 72.9 / Value 67.9 / Sentiment 43.2
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$18.98B
Beta
0.69
Shares Out
153.63M
P/E (TTM)
9.7
P/S (TTM)
1.86
P/FCF (TTM)
9.08
Rev YoY
+19.4%
EPS YoY
+115.4%
Gross Margin
+42.9%
Op Margin
+31.5%
Net Debt
$1.65B
Current Ratio
3.54
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology