B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CERS
CerusDNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 showed continued product growth, accelerating IFC demand, a higher 2026 outlook, completed refinancing, and expanded BARDA support. The INT200 PMA submission preserves a defined regulatory milestone for early 2027.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-02 · AMC.
What can break
Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments were $56.3 million at June 30, 2026, while refinancing and debt execution remain important to the path toward profitability. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
90
Value
36
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.55 · Bull $3.40 · Bear $1.60Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-02 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.13
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d -
Value36 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-02 · AMC.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments were $56.3 million at June 30, 2026, while refinancing and debt execution remain important to the path toward profitability. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
- • Government contract revenue declined 24% year over year in Q2, increasing reliance on product growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
- • Q2 gross-margin compression, lower government-contract revenue, limited cash relative to execution needs, and regulatory timing create downside if growth does not translate into operating leverage.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-02 · AMC
Q2 results reinforced growth and raised 2026 outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
90
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
36
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 90.4 / Value 36.4 / Sentiment 53.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$2.55
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$483.66M
Beta
1.52
Shares Out
201.53M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-29.3
P/S (TTM)
1.74
P/FCF (TTM)
2343.93
Rev YoY
+9.5%
EPS YoY
-50.7%
Gross Margin
+51.8%
Op Margin
-12.7%
Net Debt
$14.07M
Current Ratio
1.83
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data