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CELH

CelsiusD
Nasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue scale, Alani Nu demand, PepsiCo distribution, and the completed Rockstar integration create a broader platform for growth. Management describes the portfolio as positioned for longer-term expansion.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Analyst target count and post-earnings revision data are unavailable; the $55 median target is therefore weak evidence.
Momentum
27
Value
54
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $26.00 · Bull $34.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $42.43
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d -5.4
Value54 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target count and post-earnings revision data are unavailable; the $55 median target is therefore weak evidence.
  • • CELSIUS brand assortment productivity and sustainable growth remain unresolved. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • The core CELSIUS brand requires an optimization project, while Q2 showed material margin and profitability pressure.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 2026 earnings reset expectations

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
27
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
+12.6
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
46
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-13.1
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 26.6 / Value 54.3 / Sentiment 46.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.2B
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
253.04M
P/E (TTM)
480.5
P/S (TTM)
5.83
P/FCF (TTM)
25.13
Rev YoY
+10.6%
EPS YoY
-56.9%
Gross Margin
+47.5%
Op Margin
+19.2%
Net Debt
$1.92B
Current Ratio
1.75
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data