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CE

CelaneseB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 recovery, nearly three-year high adjusted EPS, stronger pricing and mix, targeted growth in medical and electronics, and more than $50 million of planned annualized savings could improve earnings power and support deleveraging.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Chemical demand, oversupply, and higher feedstock or energy costs could offset pricing, mix, and productivity gains [#SEC-8K-2026-05-05].
Momentum
64
Value
61
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $50.00 · Bull $65.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-08-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $61.42
Why
Momentum64 · Δ7d -9.4
Value61 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -0.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Chemical demand, oversupply, and higher feedstock or energy costs could offset pricing, mix, and productivity gains [#SEC-8K-2026-05-05].
  • • Consensus surprise, analyst target revisions, estimate changes, and post-print market reaction are not verified in the packet.
  • • The improvement may remain cyclical, while demand weakness, oversupply, feedstock and energy costs, execution on closures, and substantial leverage could limit durable equity upside.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 earnings showed sharp sequential recovery

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
64
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.4
Δ21d
-11.0
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-17.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 64.1 / Value 60.9 / Sentiment 58.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$65.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.24B
Beta
1.11
Shares Out
109.75M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.5
P/S (TTM)
0.48
P/FCF (TTM)
4.97
Rev YoY
+8.7%
EPS YoY
-36.8%
Gross Margin
+19.6%
Op Margin
+8.7%
Net Debt
$11.67B
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data