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CBT

CabotB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 print supports a constructive medium-term case: adjusted EPS improved sequentially, Performance Chemicals EBIT accelerated, and management reaffirmed Battery Materials EBITDA while expanding conductive-additive capacity. Asset optimization could add further cost support.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.5.
What can break
Asset closures depend on local consultation processes and may take time to deliver savings
Momentum
23
Value
65
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $90.00 · Bull $98.00 · Bear $76.00Analysis 2026-08-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $91.33
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d +2.1
Value65 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +7.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Asset closures depend on local consultation processes and may take time to deliver savings
  • • Battery Materials capacity expansion may face execution, demand, or capital-allocation risk
  • • The quarter remains mixed: Reinforcement Materials EBIT declined 24% year over year because lower gross profit per ton offset higher volumes.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-03

Post-earnings digestion: resilient adjusted EPS with mixed segment performance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
-20.6
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-4.4
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.5
Δ21d
+8.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 23.5 / Value 65.3 / Sentiment 72.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.46B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
51.63M
P/E (TTM)
11.6
P/S (TTM)
0.99
P/FCF (TTM)
12.47
Rev YoY
+6.4%
EPS YoY
-93.8%
Gross Margin
+24.2%
Op Margin
+15.1%
Net Debt
$970M
Current Ratio
1.47
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data