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CBAN

Colony BankcorpC
NYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
NIM expansion, continued buybacks, steady dividend history and accretive M&A could lift valuation to or above consensus high if execution and credit trends remain strong.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Acquisition execution and regulatory approval risk
Momentum
39
Value
57
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.95 · Bull $22.05 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-01-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $25.13
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -0.3
Value57 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -2.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition execution and regulatory approval risk
  • • Credit loss or reserve build from localized loan deterioration
  • • Acquisition execution issues, unexpected credit deterioration, or rising funding costs could compress multiples; downside is amplified if buybacks pause.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Share repurchase program execution

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
39
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-10.0
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.1
Δ21d
-8.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 39.0 / Value 57.1 / Sentiment 54.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$19.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$432.06M
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
21.22M
P/E (TTM)
11.2
P/S (TTM)
3.01
P/FCF (TTM)
10.67
Rev YoY
+23.5%
EPS YoY
+12.2%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+21.5%
Net Debt
$241.12M
Current Ratio
0.12
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data