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CBAN

Colony BankcorpC
NYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
NIM expansion, continued buybacks, steady dividend history and accretive M&A could lift valuation to or above consensus high if execution and credit trends remain strong.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.
What can break
Acquisition execution and regulatory approval risk
Momentum
50
Value
55
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.95 · Bull $22.05 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-01-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $25.00
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d -6.8
Value55 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +1.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition execution and regulatory approval risk
  • • Credit loss or reserve build from localized loan deterioration
  • • Acquisition execution issues, unexpected credit deterioration, or rising funding costs could compress multiples; downside is amplified if buybacks pause.

Catalyst clock

2025-05-15

Share repurchase program execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
50
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-6.8
Δ21d
-16.7
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+3.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 49.8 / Value 55.4 / Sentiment 58.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$19.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$468.77M
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
21.22M
P/E (TTM)
11.2
P/S (TTM)
3.01
P/FCF (TTM)
10.67
Rev YoY
+23.5%
EPS YoY
+12.2%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+21.5%
Net Debt
$241.12M
Current Ratio
0.12
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data