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CASY

Casey's General StoresD
Nasdaq / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull case is that the June 9 release showed a broad-based beat rather than a one-line fuel benefit: inside same-store sales, prepared-food mix, inside margin, fuel gallons, and annual EBITDA all moved higher, while FY2027 guidance still calls for 8%-10% EBITDA growth [#SEC-8K-2026-06-09]. Barron’s follow-through coverage on June 10 also cited an RBC price-target increase to $794 after the print, indicating at least some constructive sell-side revision signal.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.
What can break
FY2027 operating expenses are guided up about 5%-7%, so labor, compensation, and expansion-related costs must stay controlled to preserve EBITDA leverage [#SEC-8K-2026-06-09].
Momentum
55
Value
45
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $820.00 · Bull $960.00 · Bear $700.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $950.78
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d +14.2
Value45 · Δ7d -0.9
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -8.0
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
55
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.2
Δ21d
-9.6
Value
45
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
45
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.0
Δ21d
-11.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 54.6 / Value 45.2 / Sentiment 45.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$31.79B
Beta
0.68
Shares Out
37M
P/E (TTM)
34.7
P/S (TTM)
1.23
P/FCF (TTM)
34.62
Rev YoY
+14.5%
EPS YoY
+66.4%
Gross Margin
+22.0%
Op Margin
+5.3%
Net Debt
$2.38B
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology