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CAST

FreeCastB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
If advertising and platform initiatives convert into recurring revenue, FreeCast’s small scale could create asymmetric upside. This remains an execution scenario rather than a reported trend.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.6.
What can break
Commercialization and monetization evidence remains limited; recent announcements do not establish realized revenue, margins, or customer ROI.
Momentum
100
Value
35
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.35 · Bull $2.25 · Bear $0.75Analysis 2026-08-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.00
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d 0.0
Value35 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +13.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commercialization and monetization evidence remains limited; recent announcements do not establish realized revenue, margins, or customer ROI.
  • • Liquidity and financing risk given $119,302 of cash versus $7.91 million of current liabilities. [#SEC-10Q-2026-05-15]
  • • The deterministic prior is negative, coverage is low, and the latest filing shows severe liquidity and balance-sheet pressure.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-17

Governance change

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
100
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-
Value
35
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-8.6
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.6
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 100.0 / Value 34.7 / Sentiment 69.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$1.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$0.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$40.91M
Beta
-
Shares Out
40.86M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.9
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-3.90
Rev YoY
-35.4%
EPS YoY
+34.2%
Gross Margin
+59.7%
Op Margin
-2305.4%
Net Debt
$3.7M
Current Ratio
0.08
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data