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CALM

Cal-Maine FoodsA
Nasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
A strong balance sheet—$767.6 million of cash and short-term investments at August 29—can fund diversification through the egg-price trough. A supply rebalance plus profitable utilization of new Prepared Foods capacity could lift earnings above the current loss-making run rate.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
Higher feed and production costs and lower specialty pricing pressured specialty egg profitability. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-30]
Momentum
13
Value
66
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $66.00 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $45.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $76.60
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d +1.6
Value66 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment70 · Δ7d -4.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher feed and production costs and lower specialty pricing pressured specialty egg profitability. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-30]
  • • Prepared Foods expansion may add costs before production, utilization and margins recover. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-30]
  • • Oversupply produced a $71.0 million conventional-shell-egg segment loss; specialty egg prices and volumes also declined, and Prepared Foods volume fell during expansion work.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Fiscal Q1 2027 loss resets the earnings case

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
13
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
-0.2
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
70
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.4
Δ21d
-8.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 13.4 / Value 66.5 / Sentiment 69.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$2.86B
Beta
0.25
Shares Out
46.71M
P/E (TTM)
3.0
P/S (TTM)
0.87
P/FCF (TTM)
4.74
Rev YoY
-49.9%
EPS YoY
-110.8%
Gross Margin
+23.1%
Op Margin
+11.8%
Net Debt
-$930.36M
Current Ratio
7.70
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data