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CAAS

China AutomotiveD
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company reported record FY2025 sales, EPS, operating cash flow and improved gross margins, with EPS sales growing 25.5% and FY2026 revenue guidance of $810.0 million. Higher-value steering programs could extend that momentum.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
First-half 2026 results may miss or weaken confidence in the $810.0 million FY2026 revenue target.
Momentum
4
Value
74
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.20 · Bull $5.25 · Bear $3.40Analysis 2026-08-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d -
Value74 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • First-half 2026 results may miss or weaken confidence in the $810.0 million FY2026 revenue target.
  • • Margin expansion may not persist if product mix normalizes; R&D investment increased materially in FY2025.
  • • The current deterministic signal is negative with very high uncertainty.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-13

First-half 2026 results scheduled

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
74
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
35
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 4.3 / Value 74.3 / Sentiment 35.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$5.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$4.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$3.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$138.03M
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
30.17M
P/E (TTM)
3.9
P/S (TTM)
0.18
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-5.20
Rev YoY
+21.4%
EPS YoY
+103.3%
Gross Margin
+18.6%
Op Margin
+6.1%
Net Debt
-$20.83M
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data