BXMT

Blackstone Mortgage TrustD

NYSE / Financial Services

At close

2026-07-18

View Chart

Current thesis

Stable credit marks, sustained distribution coverage and a re‑rating toward upper analyst targets lift the shares.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.5.

What can break

Cap‑rate expansion causing NAV markdowns

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $20.48 · Bull $23.00 · Bear $19.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $20.88

Why

Momentum21 · Δ7d -5.0

Value51 · Δ7d +0.2

Sentiment65 · Δ7d -4.5

So what

Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-5.0

Δ21d

-15.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.2

Δ21d

+1.8

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.5

Δ21d

+0.5

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 20.6 / Value 51.1 / Sentiment 64.9

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$2.88B

Beta

1.10

Shares Out

168.68M

P/E (TTM)

31.2

P/S (TTM)

2.11

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

372.92

Rev YoY

+2.9%

EPS YoY

+1671.4%

Gross Margin

+79.3%

Op Margin

+7.1%

Net Debt

$15.7B

Current Ratio

0.18

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology