B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BWXT
BWXBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
BWXT combines strong Q2 execution, rapid Commercial Operations growth, a raised FY2026 outlook, PCG integration, and increased concentration on nuclear national-security and commercial-power markets. The primary-company evidence supports a positive operating trend.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.
What can break
Commercial nuclear order conversion and government-program timing remain important forward variables, with limited quantified visibility in the packet.
Momentum
21
Value
47
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $180.00 · Bull $225.00 · Bear $125.00Analysis 2026-08-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $227.67
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d +1.9
Value47 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +7.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Commercial nuclear order conversion and government-program timing remain important forward variables, with limited quantified visibility in the packet.
- • High valuation leaves limited room for execution misses or guidance reductions.
- • The thesis depends on continued execution, PCG integration, capacity investment, and conversion of nuclear-market demand into profitable orders.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-03
Raised FY2026 outlook after Q2 results
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+10.9
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.8
Δ21d
-19.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 20.7 / Value 47.4 / Sentiment 79.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-21. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$15.72B
Beta
0.83
Shares Out
91.62M
P/E (TTM)
56.5
P/S (TTM)
5.65
P/FCF (TTM)
46.57
Rev YoY
+18.0%
EPS YoY
+13.2%
Gross Margin
+22.1%
Op Margin
+9.7%
Net Debt
$1.56B
Current Ratio
2.40
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data