B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BWMX
Betterware de Mexico SA.P.I de C.VBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 primary-source results support a constructive integration thesis: organic momentum improved, Tupperware contributed immediately, free-cash-flow conversion remained strong, and management reported pro forma trailing-twelve-month EPS 36% above organic TTM EPS [#PR-2026-07-23].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.
What can break
Analyst estimate revisions, target changes, and consensus detail are unavailable.
Momentum
37
Value
69
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.00 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $13.50Analysis 2026-07-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $29.80
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d +6.1
Value69 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +11.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst estimate revisions, target changes, and consensus detail are unavailable.
- • Jafra and Tupperware margin pressure may persist longer than expected.
- • The earnings base is still difficult to interpret because Tupperware contributed only one month.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-23
Q2 results validate growth but leave execution questions
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.1
Δ21d
+22.6
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.5
Δ21d
+9.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 36.6 / Value 68.5 / Sentiment 65.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$593.3M
Beta
1.22
Shares Out
37.24M
P/E (TTM)
10.4
P/S (TTM)
0.75
P/FCF (TTM)
15.44
Rev YoY
+31.1%
EPS YoY
+35.3%
Gross Margin
+66.2%
Op Margin
+16.5%
Net Debt
$230.04M
Current Ratio
1.11
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data