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BWA

BorgWarnerA
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Margin expansion, higher 2026 adjusted EPS guidance, substantial repurchase authorization, and new awards support a constructive medium-term setup [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Battery Energy Systems weakness and pressure on mix or margins.
Momentum
79
Value
64
Sentiment
88
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $81.33 · Bull $88.00 · Bear $58.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $81.33
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d -3.2
Value64 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment88 · Δ7d +19.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +19.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Battery Energy Systems weakness and pressure on mix or margins.
  • • Capital-allocation and debt-tender-offer execution risk.
  • • Organic Q2 sales declined 1.2% year over year, including an approximately $60 million Battery Energy Systems decline, while lower industry production and long-dated program timing remain execution risks [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 execution and higher 2026 EPS guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.2
Δ21d
+21.7
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
88
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+19.5
Δ21d
+12.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 78.7 / Value 63.6 / Sentiment 88.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$81.33
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.24B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
203.67M
P/E (TTM)
77.0
P/S (TTM)
0.72
P/FCF (TTM)
8.99
Rev YoY
+0.2%
EPS YoY
+30.8%
Gross Margin
+19.5%
Op Margin
+10.2%
Net Debt
$1.74B
Current Ratio
2.13
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data