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BWA

BorgWarnerB
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Margin expansion, higher EPS guidance, capital returns and a diversified award pipeline support a constructive medium-term setup. The turbine-generator initiative adds a potentially meaningful non-automotive growth option, but remains execution-dependent.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
What can break
Cyclical global automotive production and uncertain electric-vehicle demand.
Momentum
79
Value
64
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $70.00 · Bull $81.00 · Bear $55.00Analysis 2026-09-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $81.33
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d +1.2
Value64 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -18.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -18.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Cyclical global automotive production and uncertain electric-vehicle demand.
  • Execution risk around turbine-generator production, capacity ramp and commercial adoption; management's 2027 and greater-than-$300 million sales expectations are forward-looking [#8-K-2026-09-04].
  • Organic sales declined 1.2% year over year in Q2, including an approximately $60 million Battery Energy Systems decline.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 execution and higher 2026 EPS guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
+9.4
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-18.5
Δ21d
-8.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 79.0 / Value 63.5 / Sentiment 67.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$81.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.24B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
203.67M
P/E (TTM)
77.0
P/S (TTM)
0.72
P/FCF (TTM)
8.99
Rev YoY
+0.2%
EPS YoY
+30.8%
Gross Margin
+19.5%
Op Margin
+10.2%
Net Debt
$1.74B
Current Ratio
2.13
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data