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BW

Babcock Wilcox EnterprisesC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The earnings update materially improves the near-term setup: revenue, adjusted EBITDA and bookings beat expectations, guidance rose, backlog remains large, and management cited continued data-center and baseload-generation demand [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.2.
What can break
Analyst revisions, target changes and detailed post-print consensus data are unavailable, limiting confidence in the market's forward expectations.
Momentum
4
Value
40
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.50 · Bull $14.00 · Bear $6.20Analysis 2026-08-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-11 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-08-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-08-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-08-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $22.67
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d +0.5
Value40 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment82 · Δ7d +4.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, target changes and detailed post-print consensus data are unavailable, limiting confidence in the market's forward expectations.
  • • Execution, timing and margin risk on large backlog and data-center-related projects.
  • • The market may already be capitalizing much of the earnings and data-center narrative.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-10

Q2 beat and raised FY2026 EBITDA outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
10% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.2
Value
40
40% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
82
49% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
+22.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 4.2 / Value 40.4 / Sentiment 82.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-11
Market Cap
$1.37B
Beta
1.55
Shares Out
148.84M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-10.8
P/S (TTM)
1.34
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-12.11
Rev YoY
+44.3%
EPS YoY
+120.9%
Gross Margin
+24.7%
Op Margin
+0.3%
Net Debt
$187.67M
Current Ratio
0.99
As of 2026-08-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data