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BW

Babcock Wilcox EnterprisesC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 earnings improvement, raised EBITDA target and larger backlog support the positive directional prior if B&W sustains margins and converts projects into cash [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +21.5.
What can break
B&W declared a preferred-stock dividend payable September 30; the filing does not establish a new common-share dividend [#8-K-2026-09-08].
Momentum
3
Value
42
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.80 · Bull $9.00 · Bear $3.80Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-09-24 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-25

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-25. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $22.00
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d -1.8
Value42 · Δ7d +2.5
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +21.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +21.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • B&W declared a preferred-stock dividend payable September 30; the filing does not establish a new common-share dividend [#8-K-2026-09-08].
  • • Backlog execution, project timing and margin realization could diverge from the raised 2026 adjusted EBITDA target [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10].
  • • Large project opportunities may convert slowly or at weaker margins, while cash demands and remaining balance-sheet obligations could limit equity upside.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Confirmation of debt reduction and cash position

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-1.4
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.5
Δ21d
+2.5
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+21.5
Δ21d
-3.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 2.9 / Value 42.4 / Sentiment 70.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$6.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-09-24
Market Cap
$919.11M
Beta
1.55
Shares Out
148.97M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-7.2
P/S (TTM)
1.34
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-9.43
Rev YoY
+130.3%
EPS YoY
-111.7%
Gross Margin
+20.0%
Op Margin
+4.0%
Net Debt
$187.67M
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-09-25 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data