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BVN

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAAB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
A successful San Gabriel ramp-up, alongside production broadly in line with plans at several other mines, could improve confidence in future output. The company reported El Brocal's planned 13,500-tonne-per-day processing rate at quarter-end.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
What can break
Metal prices, provisional pricing adjustments and mine-level production mix can materially affect realized revenue. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-10-15]
Momentum
32
Value
65
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $20.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $38.50
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -15.1
Value65 · Δ7d +1.3
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -10.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Metal prices, provisional pricing adjustments and mine-level production mix can materially affect realized revenue. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-10-15]
  • • San Gabriel produced 5,059 gold ounces in the first nine months against updated full-year guidance of 15,000–20,000 ounces, leaving a demanding fourth-quarter requirement. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-10-15]
  • • San Gabriel's 3Q gold output missed company projections because of constrained ore processing, and its 2026 guidance was revised.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Third-quarter earnings release

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
32
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.1
Δ21d
-9.8
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+3.1
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.2
Δ21d
-17.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 32.4 / Value 65.0 / Sentiment 57.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$6.96B
Beta
1.55
Shares Out
253.72M
P/E (TTM)
15.6
P/S (TTM)
4.83
P/FCF (TTM)
70.79
Rev YoY
+40.9%
EPS YoY
+155.8%
Gross Margin
+50.8%
Op Margin
+44.4%
Net Debt
$179.83M
Current Ratio
2.59
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data