B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$79.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BTSG
BrightSpring Health ServicesCNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Strong Q2 growth, improved leverage, a $300 million first-lien paydown, interest savings, and raised FY2026 guidance support continued earnings and cash-generation momentum. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -22.3.
What can break
Analyst revision, options, short-interest, employee-sentiment, and social data are unavailable in the packet.
Momentum
26
Value
55
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $66.00 · Bull $79.00 · Bear $47.00Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $78.94
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d +11.7
Value55 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment67 · Δ7d -22.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -22.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revision, options, short-interest, employee-sentiment, and social data are unavailable in the packet.
- • Execution, refinancing, and deleveraging risks remain despite leverage improving to 2.15x. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
- • The stock has already experienced a 15.95% 30-day decline, while secondary valuation context cites a 51x P/E versus 25.6x for US healthcare and 39.2x for peers.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Q2 results and raised FY2026 guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.7
Δ21d
-6.1
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-22.3
Δ21d
-27.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 26.2 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 67.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.95B
Beta
-
Shares Out
197.86M
P/E (TTM)
114.6
P/S (TTM)
0.57
P/FCF (TTM)
25.65
Rev YoY
+23.0%
EPS YoY
+201.8%
Gross Margin
+12.4%
Op Margin
+3.7%
Net Debt
$2.62B
Current Ratio
1.59
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data