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Bassett Furniture IndustriesD
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The constructive case is that Q1 weakness was partly weather- and housing-driven, while Q2 should show tariff-inclusive pricing, late-quarter cost saves, continued Casegoods momentum, and stronger digital/store contribution; that could rebuild margin even without a full housing recovery [#8-K-2026-04-01].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.
What can break
Follow-on coverage highlighted higher transport and material costs, reinforcing that Bassett's margin structure remains sensitive to modest cost inflation and volume deleverage.
Momentum
91
Value
45
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.50 · Bull $18.50 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-05-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $23.00
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d -3.9
Value45 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d +6.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Follow-on coverage highlighted higher transport and material costs, reinforcing that Bassett's margin structure remains sensitive to modest cost inflation and volume deleverage.
  • Gross margin fell 80 basis points in Q1 and retail margins were hurt by absorbing tariffs on deliveries from prior-quarter pricing, so successful pass-through still needs proof [#8-K-2026-04-01].
  • The cautious case is that Q1 already showed revenue down 2.2%, gross margin down 80 bps, SG&A deleverage, and $5.5 million of operating cash use, so even small demand shortfalls can keep earnings muted if housing stays weak and upholstery volumes remain soft [#8-K-2026-04-01] [#10-Q-2026-04-01].

Catalyst clock

2026-05-29

Quarterly dividend payment is a modest balance-sheet signal

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
91
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-4.1
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
44
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.3
Δ21d
+14.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 91.4 / Value 45.4 / Sentiment 43.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$164.51M
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
8.66M
P/E (TTM)
18.3
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
154.94
Rev YoY
-0.7%
EPS YoY
+6.8%
Gross Margin
+56.3%
Op Margin
+2.2%
Net Debt
$30.15M
Current Ratio
1.97
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data