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BRBR

BellRing BrandsB
NYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary-source evidence still shows healthy brand demand markers: Premier and Dymatize consumption increased, Premier RTD volume rose double digits, and management is maintaining advertising support. If promotions normalize and input-cost pressure eases, the stock could rebound from a deeply reset base.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +18.9.
What can break
CEO transition remains unresolved, with the board still running an external search as of May 5, 2026.
Momentum
8
Value
69
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.50 · Bull $13.00 · Bear $8.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.71
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d +5.1
Value69 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +18.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +18.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CEO transition remains unresolved, with the board still running an external search as of May 5, 2026.
  • • Heightened consumer price sensitivity and a sustained promotional environment are hurting price/mix even as volume rises.
  • • The post-Q2 evidence is materially worse than the prior monitoring thesis: sales growth became volume-led and margin-destructive, FY2026 guidance was cut, freight and protein inflation remain a headwind, and the quarter included an inventory-quality charge.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

FY2026 guidance reset now needs Q3 confirmation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
+1.1
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+18.9
Δ21d
+15.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 8.5 / Value 69.2 / Sentiment 76.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.18B
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
116.28M
P/E (TTM)
14.2
P/S (TTM)
1.22
P/FCF (TTM)
11.06
Rev YoY
+4.2%
EPS YoY
+78.7%
Gross Margin
+27.3%
Op Margin
+12.7%
Net Debt
$1.02B
Current Ratio
2.25
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data