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BOKF

BOK FinancialC
Nasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 2026 showed the ingredients of durable earnings quality: broad-based loan growth, lower nonperforming assets, low net charge-offs, and lower operating expense, which together could offset some NIM pressure if funding conditions stabilize. [#8-K-2026-04-20]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.
What can break
Capital return is not presently providing a cushion after no common share repurchases in Q1 2026.
Momentum
39
Value
51
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $132.00 · Bull $149.00 · Bear $118.00Analysis 2026-04-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $152.00
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -0.8
Value51 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +4.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Capital return is not presently providing a cushion after no common share repurchases in Q1 2026.
  • • Fee businesses such as investment banking and trading remain volume-sensitive and can stay soft in uneven markets.
  • • The bear case is that the quarter still contained the main ingredients of earnings erosion for a regional bank: lower deposits, lower net interest margin, softer fee revenue, and no buyback support, leaving the stock vulnerable if investors conclude Q1 was the start of a slower earnings path rather than a temporary mix shift.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-21

Management commentary on funding mix and margin trajectory

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-17.3
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-5.5
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.0
Δ21d
+9.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 39.4 / Value 50.8 / Sentiment 61.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$149.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$132.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.85B
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
60.77M
P/E (TTM)
14.4
P/S (TTM)
3.63
P/FCF (TTM)
6.28
Rev YoY
+5.1%
EPS YoY
+33.2%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+24.5%
Net Debt
$3.86B
Current Ratio
0.19
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data