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BODI

BeachbodyB
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 net income of $1.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $6.7 million exceeded company guidance while retail nutrition distribution expanded. Sustained reorders, subscription stabilization, and cash conversion could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Digital subscriptions fell 19.1% year over year, and average digital retention slipped 60 basis points. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
Momentum
18
Value
70
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.00 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $2.50Analysis 2026-10-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.00
Why
Momentum18 · Δ7d -
Value70 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Digital subscriptions fell 19.1% year over year, and average digital retention slipped 60 basis points. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
  • • First-half free cash flow was negative $5.7 million versus positive $4.1 million a year earlier. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
  • • Q2 revenue fell 22.4% year over year, digital subscriptions declined, and first-half free cash flow turned negative.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-15

Q3 results test whether profitability can withstand falling revenue

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
18
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
70
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 18.3 / Value 69.9 / Sentiment 52.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$4.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$31.25M
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
7.28M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-10.5
P/S (TTM)
0.26
P/FCF (TTM)
12.64
Rev YoY
-22.4%
EPS YoY
-113.0%
Gross Margin
+71.7%
Op Margin
+8.2%
Net Debt
-$17.87M
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data