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BNS

Bank of Nova ScotiaC
NYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull thesis: Successful execution on higher-return international and capital-markets initiatives combined with stable NIM and low credit losses leads to re-rating toward the high end of analyst targets.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Canadian macro deterioration and higher credit losses
Momentum
75
Value
44
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $95.00 · Bull $108.00 · Bear $71.00Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $98.21
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d +5.2
Value44 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -0.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Canadian macro deterioration and higher credit losses
  • • Margin compression from prolonged low/volatile rates
  • • Bear thesis: Weakened Canadian/EM credit conditions or margin compression force provision increases and capital constraints, leaving the stock below peer multiples and nearer analyst lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-31

Capital return / dividend policy update (assumed window end)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
75
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+5.2
Δ21d
-2.3
Value
44
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-11.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 75.0 / Value 44.0 / Sentiment 55.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$71.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$114.48B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
1.23B
P/E (TTM)
17.6
P/S (TTM)
3.37
P/FCF (TTM)
9.39
Rev YoY
-1.0%
EPS YoY
+40.9%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+16.4%
Net Debt
$161.6B
Current Ratio
0.68
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data