B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
BMY
Bristol-Myers SquibbCNYSE / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Successful late-stage readouts or favorable regulatory outcomes plus stable core product sales drive multiple expansion toward the analyst high; acquisition or clearer long-term guidance could lift the stock to the bull target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.4.
What can break
Clinical trial failure or delay
Momentum
54
Value
68
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $57.68 · Bull $68.00 · Bear $37.00Analysis 2026-02-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $66.26
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d +6.2
Value68 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +8.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Clinical trial failure or delay
- • Lower-than-expected sales or guidance
- • Clinical failures, regulatory setbacks, accelerated generic/biosimilar erosion, or weaker guidance could push sentiment down to the bear target; litigation losses or margin pressure would deepen downside.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-07
Quarterly earnings and updated 2026 guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
54
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.2
Δ21d
-23.2
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
47
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.4
Δ21d
+4.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 54.0 / Value 67.9 / Sentiment 46.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$57.68
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$132.02B
Beta
0.29
Shares Out
2.04B
P/E (TTM)
17.9
P/S (TTM)
2.25
P/FCF (TTM)
10.49
Rev YoY
+5.8%
EPS YoY
+152.0%
Gross Margin
+66.6%
Op Margin
+32.4%
Net Debt
$36.47B
Current Ratio
1.53
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data