B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
BMA
Banco MacroFNYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Improved macro stability, stronger fee income and controlled provisioning lift EPS and re-rate the ADR toward the upper multiple band; currency stability and higher NII drive upside. Targets are anchored to the ANCHOR above (USD 3.59); the bull scenario assumes sustained ARS stabilization, rapid NII recovery and multiple expansion—this justifies the bull target (~67% above the anchor over a 6-month recommendation timeframe).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
ARS devaluation / FX shock
Momentum
7
Value
44
Sentiment
25
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.00 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $2.50Analysis 2026-01-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $116.84
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d -1.8
Value44 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment25 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • ARS devaluation / FX shock
- • Large deposit outflows
- • Renewed ARS weakness or adverse regulatory moves force higher provisions and deposit flight risk, compressing NII and causing a material de-rating of local banks' ADRs.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-16
Q4 / FY2025 Earnings Release and Guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-3.5
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
25
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 6.7 / Value 44.0 / Sentiment 25.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-16. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$4.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.24B
Beta
1.50
Shares Out
62.82M
P/E (TTM)
30.0
P/S (TTM)
2.14
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
3.69
Rev YoY
+15.5%
EPS YoY
+13.0%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+26.1%
Net Debt
-$1.41B
Current Ratio
13.12
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data