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BLX

BladexC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary-source evidence improved versus the baseline: 1Q26 earnings showed continuing balance-sheet growth, deposits rose 25% YoY, fee income held up, capital stayed strong, and recent IFC and Mexican debt-market actions support the diversification narrative.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.
What can break
Funding and liquidity remain key watch items because management's own forward-looking disclosures flag source mix, deposit withdrawals, ratings maintenance, and allowance needs as material variables.
Momentum
27
Value
61
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $52.00 · Bull $58.00 · Bear $46.00Analysis 2026-05-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $61.67
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d +5.7
Value61 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +1.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Funding and liquidity remain key watch items because management's own forward-looking disclosures flag source mix, deposit withdrawals, ratings maintenance, and allowance needs as material variables.
  • • Net interest margin is under pressure from lower base rates, abundant market liquidity, and competitive pricing, so loan growth may not fully translate into earnings upside.
  • • The same primary sources also show the main constraint: NIM compressed to 2.34%, Stage 2 exposures rose to 2.2%, and management explicitly tied the pressure to lower base rates, market liquidity, and competitive pricing.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-27

1Q26 results kept BLX inside its stated 2026 operating frame, but margin compression remains the near-term swing factor

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
27
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.7
Δ21d
-5.5
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
-1.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 27.3 / Value 60.9 / Sentiment 58.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.93B
Beta
0.83
Shares Out
35.91M
P/E (TTM)
7.3
P/S (TTM)
4.14
P/FCF (TTM)
1.80
Rev YoY
+3.3%
EPS YoY
+2.5%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+27.7%
Net Debt
$2.58B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data