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BLX

BladexB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary-source evidence improved versus the baseline: 1Q26 earnings showed continuing balance-sheet growth, deposits rose 25% YoY, fee income held up, capital stayed strong, and recent IFC and Mexican debt-market actions support the diversification narrative.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
What can break
Funding and liquidity remain key watch items because management's own forward-looking disclosures flag source mix, deposit withdrawals, ratings maintenance, and allowance needs as material variables.
Momentum
70
Value
60
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $52.00 · Bull $58.00 · Bear $46.00Analysis 2026-05-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-26 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $66.65
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d +1.5
Value60 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +2.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Funding and liquidity remain key watch items because management's own forward-looking disclosures flag source mix, deposit withdrawals, ratings maintenance, and allowance needs as material variables.
  • • Net interest margin is under pressure from lower base rates, abundant market liquidity, and competitive pricing, so loan growth may not fully translate into earnings upside.
  • • The same primary sources also show the main constraint: NIM compressed to 2.34%, Stage 2 exposures rose to 2.2%, and management explicitly tied the pressure to lower base rates, market liquidity, and competitive pricing.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-26 · AMC

1Q26 results kept BLX inside its stated 2026 operating frame, but margin compression remains the near-term swing factor

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
70
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
+4.6
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.5
Δ21d
-6.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 69.8 / Value 60.3 / Sentiment 53.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.89B
Beta
0.83
Shares Out
35.91M
P/E (TTM)
7.3
P/S (TTM)
4.14
P/FCF (TTM)
1.80
Rev YoY
+3.3%
EPS YoY
+2.5%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+27.7%
Net Debt
$2.58B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data