B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
BLCO
Bausch + LombCNYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Successful new-product rollouts and faster-than-expected margin expansion lift revenue above consensus, prompting a rerating toward the low–mid $20s as specialty products scale and pricing power improves [#SERP-8].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.0.
What can break
Earnings miss or weak FY guidance
Momentum
53
Value
56
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.50 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $13.00Analysis 2026-02-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.08
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d +11.5
Value56 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +7.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Earnings miss or weak FY guidance
- • Margin pressure from input-costs or supply disruption
- • Execution delays, weak surgical/retail demand, or regulatory setbacks compress margins and market share, driving the stock toward the analyst low near $13 as estimates are revised down [#SERP-4].
Catalyst clock
2026-05-20
Next quarterly earnings release (est.)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
53
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.5
Δ21d
-1.9
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+5.6
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.0
Δ21d
-3.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 53.2 / Value 56.2 / Sentiment 61.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.07B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
357.17M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-16.7
P/S (TTM)
1.20
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
43.13
Rev YoY
+9.1%
EPS YoY
-77.6%
Gross Margin
+57.0%
Op Margin
+7.6%
Net Debt
$4.85B
Current Ratio
1.55
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data