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BKNG

BookingA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 results showed room nights up 5%, gross bookings up 9%, revenue up 8%, adjusted EBITDA up 9%, and operating cash flow up 16%. Strong cash generation, buybacks, and potential transformation savings support a constructive medium-term case.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
EU gatekeeper and broader regulatory scrutiny remain relevant to the platform model, according to secondary packet context.
Momentum
75
Value
53
Sentiment
86
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $208.00 · Bull $228.00 · Bear $170.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $239.24
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d -7.4
Value53 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment86 · Δ7d +7.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • EU gatekeeper and broader regulatory scrutiny remain relevant to the platform model, according to secondary packet context.
  • • Geopolitical uncertainty, foreign-exchange effects, and softer long-haul demand could pressure travel volumes.
  • • The Q3 outlook implies moderation to mid-single-digit growth, with geopolitical uncertainty and softer long-haul demand limiting near-term upside.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Dividend and continuing capital returns

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
75
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.4
Δ21d
-21.3
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
86
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.6
Δ21d
+5.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 75.3 / Value 53.4 / Sentiment 86.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$228.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$208.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$153.85B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
751.38M
P/E (TTM)
34.9
P/S (TTM)
6.64
P/FCF (TTM)
24.42
Rev YoY
+8.1%
EPS YoY
+130.8%
Gross Margin
+97.5%
Op Margin
+35.2%
Net Debt
$2.21B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data