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BKH

Black HillsC
NYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Favorable regulatory rulings, consistent execution on rate-base projects, and sustained dividend increases lead to multiple expansion and push the shares toward analyst highs within 12 months.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Commodity and gas-basis volatility
Momentum
80
Value
49
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $76.00 · Bull $89.00 · Bear $66.00Analysis 2026-02-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-04 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $87.07
Why
Momentum80 · Δ7d +1.0
Value49 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -4.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commodity and gas-basis volatility
  • • Major operational outage or severe weather damage
  • • Adverse PUC outcomes, materially higher interest rates, or a significant operational setback that compresses allowed returns and multiples, moving the stock toward analyst lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04 · AMC

Q1 2026 quarterly results and guidance update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
80
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+23.6
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
-22.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 79.9 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 53.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$89.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$6.23B
Beta
0.73
Shares Out
76.25M
P/E (TTM)
17.5
P/S (TTM)
2.30
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-11.95
Rev YoY
+3.1%
EPS YoY
+32.2%
Gross Margin
+26.9%
Op Margin
+23.9%
Net Debt
$4.51B
Current Ratio
0.52
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data