B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BHC
Bausch Health CompaniesANYSE / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 operating beat, guidance increase, strong cash generation, and ongoing earnings-estimate improvements support a cautiously constructive view [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-21].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.7.
What can break
Aplenzin loss of exclusivity and broader commercial execution risk.
Momentum
73
Value
72
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.25 · Bull $9.00 · Bear $4.80Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.50
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -1.4
Value72 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment82 · Δ7d +10.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Aplenzin loss of exclusivity and broader commercial execution risk.
- • Leverage and dependence on sustained cash-flow conversion.
- • The thesis remains exposed to second-half commercial erosion, gross-to-net pressure, loss of exclusivity, leverage, and execution risk.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-29
Q2 results and FY2026 guidance raise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.4
Δ21d
-10.8
Value
72
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.7
Δ21d
+11.7
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 73.2 / Value 72.0 / Sentiment 81.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$7.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.46B
Beta
0.43
Shares Out
373.99M
P/E (TTM)
7.7
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM)
2.54
Rev YoY
+12.7%
EPS YoY
+72.0%
Gross Margin
+63.0%
Op Margin
+25.2%
Net Debt
$19.75B
Current Ratio
1.44
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data