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BGSI

Boyd Group ServicesC
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 sales rose 29.9% and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 13.4%; faster Joe Hudson savings and sustained same-store gains could support further earnings growth [#IR-2026-08-12] [#SEC-6K-2026-08-12] (company release; SEC exhibit).
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Higher acquisition-related finance costs and depreciation weighed on reported net earnings despite stronger adjusted EBITDA [#SEC-6K-2026-08-12] (SEC exhibit).
Momentum
9
Value
64
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $80.00 · Bull $92.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-10-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $152.40
Why
Momentum9 · Δ7d -
Value64 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher acquisition-related finance costs and depreciation weighed on reported net earnings despite stronger adjusted EBITDA [#SEC-6K-2026-08-12] (SEC exhibit).
  • • Joe Hudson conversion caused temporary sales disruption that the company said continued into Q3 [#SEC-6K-2026-08-12] (SEC exhibit).
  • • Q2 net earnings fell to $1.3 million from $5.4 million as depreciation and finance costs rose.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Startup openings and repair throughput

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
9
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
48
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 9.2 / Value 64.1 / Sentiment 47.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$2.33B
Beta
0.49
Shares Out
27.84M
P/E (TTM)
211.0
P/S (TTM)
1.41
P/FCF (TTM)
15.71
Rev YoY
+29.9%
EPS YoY
-81.6%
Gross Margin
+38.4%
Op Margin
+4.5%
Net Debt
$488.12M
Current Ratio
0.58
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data