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BGSI

Boyd Group ServicesB
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 operating momentum, margin expansion, Joe Hudson synergies, and continued location growth support a constructive longer-term case [#SEC-6K-2026-08-12].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
No verified analyst revision set, consensus comparison, options data, or post-release price attribution is available.
Momentum
7
Value
63
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $90.00 · Bull $102.00 · Bear $74.00Analysis 2026-08-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $160.43
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d -
Value63 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment71 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • No verified analyst revision set, consensus comparison, options data, or post-release price attribution is available.
  • Temporary Joe Hudson sales disruption continued into Q3.
  • Temporary integration-related sales disruption, throughput requirements, and startup execution could delay benefits.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-12

Q2 results confirmed strong growth and margin expansion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.7
Sentiment
71
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 7.0 / Value 63.3 / Sentiment 70.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$102.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$74.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.56B
Beta
0.49
Shares Out
27.83M
P/E (TTM)
211.0
P/S (TTM)
1.41
P/FCF (TTM)
15.71
Rev YoY
+29.9%
EPS YoY
-81.6%
Gross Margin
+38.4%
Op Margin
+4.5%
Net Debt
$488.12M
Current Ratio
0.58
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data