RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

BG

Bunge GlobalC
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The cleanest post-print bull read is that Bunge produced a material earnings and guidance reset: adjusted EPS held above prior year, core soybean and softseed processing improved, and management raised full-year adjusted EPS by roughly $1.50 at the midpoint despite a still-dynamic backdrop.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Management said visibility remains limited amid macroeconomic conditions and shifting trade flows.
Momentum
74
Value
45
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $128.00 · Bull $138.00 · Bear $112.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $145.20
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d +27.6
Value45 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +2.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Management said visibility remains limited amid macroeconomic conditions and shifting trade flows.
  • • Q1 operating cash flow was negative $541 million, with higher working-capital needs cited in the filing/release.
  • • The bear read is that the beat may be heavily cycle- and mark-to-market-aided in a volatile quarter, while management still flagged limited visibility, lower expected contributions from Tropical Oils and Grain Merchandising, higher interest expense, and heavier working-capital funding needs after Viterra.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-29

Q1 beat and full-year outlook raise reset near-term expectations

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
74
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+27.6
Δ21d
+47.6
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.7
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
-12.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 74.3 / Value 45.1 / Sentiment 64.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$128.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$22.08B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
192.12M
P/E (TTM)
10.0
P/S (TTM)
0.30
P/FCF (TTM)
123.70
Rev YoY
+88.3%
EPS YoY
+33.0%
Gross Margin
+4.9%
Op Margin
+2.2%
Net Debt
$13.62B
Current Ratio
1.57
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data