B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BG
Bunge GlobalBNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The cleanest post-print bull read is that Bunge produced a material earnings and guidance reset: adjusted EPS held above prior year, core soybean and softseed processing improved, and management raised full-year adjusted EPS by roughly $1.50 at the midpoint despite a still-dynamic backdrop.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Management said visibility remains limited amid macroeconomic conditions and shifting trade flows.
Momentum
75
Value
45
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $128.00 · Bull $138.00 · Bear $112.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $145.20
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d +14.7
Value45 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -7.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -7.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Management said visibility remains limited amid macroeconomic conditions and shifting trade flows.
- • Q1 operating cash flow was negative $541 million, with higher working-capital needs cited in the filing/release.
- • The bear read is that the beat may be heavily cycle- and mark-to-market-aided in a volatile quarter, while management still flagged limited visibility, lower expected contributions from Tropical Oils and Grain Merchandising, higher interest expense, and heavier working-capital funding needs after Viterra.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-29
Q1 beat and full-year outlook raise reset near-term expectations
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
75
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.7
Δ21d
+47.1
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.7
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.1
Δ21d
-9.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 75.2 / Value 45.0 / Sentiment 68.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$128.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$22.08B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
192.12M
P/E (TTM)
10.0
P/S (TTM)
0.30
P/FCF (TTM)
123.70
Rev YoY
+88.3%
EPS YoY
+33.0%
Gross Margin
+4.9%
Op Margin
+2.2%
Net Debt
$13.62B
Current Ratio
1.57
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data