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BETA

BETAD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
BETA is converting certification progress into operational demonstrations, defense optionality, infrastructure revenue, and a broader component platform. The reported $32 median analyst target implies substantial upside from the $20.15 anchor, but the target count is unavailable.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -12.5.
What can break
CEO open-market sales materially exceeded the disclosed director purchases in the recent Form 4 activity [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-21] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-03].
Momentum
31
Value
34
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $14.00Analysis 2026-09-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $32.22
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d -28.2
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d -12.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -12.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CEO open-market sales materially exceeded the disclosed director purchases in the recent Form 4 activity [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-21] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-03].
  • • Certification timing and remaining FAA witness/testing requirements could delay commercialization [#SEC-8K-2026-08-12] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13].
  • • The thesis remains dependent on FAA certification, production execution, cash funding, and customer adoption.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-31

Insider-activity signal

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-28.2
Δ21d
-58.9
Value
34
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
70
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.5
Δ21d
+6.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 30.9 / Value 34.1 / Sentiment 69.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.63B
Beta
-
Shares Out
233.94M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.7
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+5.6%
EPS YoY
+35.0%
Gross Margin
+13.0%
Op Margin
-1129.3%
Net Debt
-$1.51B
Current Ratio
14.47
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data