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BEKE

KEA
NYSE / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
BEKE is demonstrating real operating leverage: gross margin improved to 24.1% and adjusted operating margin to 8.8% in Q1 2026, while share repurchases remain sizable. If China residential activity stabilizes, the company can convert this cost discipline into a higher earnings baseline.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
What can break
Active agents fell 7.6% year over year, which could limit transaction growth if the network keeps shrinking.
Momentum
89
Value
65
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
5 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $13.20Analysis 2026-05-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $24.24
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d +3.8
Value65 · Δ7d -
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +3.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Active agents fell 7.6% year over year, which could limit transaction growth if the network keeps shrinking.
  • • China property-market weakness remains the core risk; new-home GTV fell 37.2% year over year in Q1 2026.
  • • The top line is still under pressure, with GTV down 15.6%, revenue down 19.0%, and new-home GTV down 37.2% year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-19

Q1 2026 showed strong profitability even as revenue and GTV fell

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
89
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
+24.4
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
-12.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 89.4 / Value 64.8 / Sentiment 58.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$19.94B
Beta
1.95
Shares Out
1.05B
P/E (TTM)
40.1
P/S (TTM)
1.35
P/FCF (TTM)
48.81
Rev YoY
+0.3%
EPS YoY
+123.4%
Gross Margin
+24.0%
Op Margin
+5.6%
Net Debt
-$5.26B
Current Ratio
1.70
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data