B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BEKE
KEBNYSE / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
BEKE is demonstrating real operating leverage: gross margin improved to 24.1% and adjusted operating margin to 8.8% in Q1 2026, while share repurchases remain sizable. If China residential activity stabilizes, the company can convert this cost discipline into a higher earnings baseline.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Active agents fell 7.6% year over year, which could limit transaction growth if the network keeps shrinking.
Momentum
82
Value
65
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $13.20Analysis 2026-05-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $24.04
Why
Momentum82 · Δ7d -3.4
Value65 · Δ7d -
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +9.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Active agents fell 7.6% year over year, which could limit transaction growth if the network keeps shrinking.
- • China property-market weakness remains the core risk; new-home GTV fell 37.2% year over year in Q1 2026.
- • The top line is still under pressure, with GTV down 15.6%, revenue down 19.0%, and new-home GTV down 37.2% year over year.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-19
Q1 2026 showed strong profitability even as revenue and GTV fell
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
82
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
+7.5
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.7
Δ21d
-1.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 81.9 / Value 64.8 / Sentiment 57.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$18.67B
Beta
1.95
Shares Out
1.06B
P/E (TTM)
40.1
P/S (TTM)
1.35
P/FCF (TTM)
48.81
Rev YoY
+0.3%
EPS YoY
+123.4%
Gross Margin
+24.0%
Op Margin
+5.6%
Net Debt
-$5.26B
Current Ratio
1.70
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data