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BE

Bloom EnergyC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 validated Bloom as a real AI-power beneficiary rather than a concept stock: product revenue more than tripled, margins expanded, cash generation turned positive, and management raised full-year guidance materially.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Bloom still carries roughly $2.6B of long-term debt, which limits balance-sheet flexibility if growth or financing conditions weaken [#10-Q-2026-04-29].
Momentum
76
Value
44
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $255.00 · Bull $360.00 · Bear $170.00Analysis 2026-05-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $281.42
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d +32.8
Value44 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -27.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -27.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Bloom still carries roughly $2.6B of long-term debt, which limits balance-sheet flexibility if growth or financing conditions weaken [#10-Q-2026-04-29].
  • • Management flags exposure to tariffs, changing incentives, and broader regulatory shifts affecting supply chain and fuel-cell product economics [#10-Q-2026-04-29] [#10-K-2026-02-09].
  • • The bear case is that the stock has already capitalized much of the near-term upside.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-30

Q1 beat and raised FY2026 guidance reset near-term expectations

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
76
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+32.8
Δ21d
+56.0
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.7
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-27.4
Δ21d
-36.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 76.1 / Value 43.7 / Sentiment 57.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$360.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$255.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$68.38B
Beta
3.06
Shares Out
294.53M
P/E (TTM)
1420.3
P/S (TTM)
13.51
P/FCF (TTM)
181.71
Rev YoY
+165.5%
EPS YoY
-431.2%
Gross Margin
+31.2%
Op Margin
+11.2%
Net Debt
$539.72M
Current Ratio
4.03
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data