B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BDX
Becton Dickinson andCNYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q3 print exceeded management expectations, cash flow improved materially, and the company raised the adjusted EPS outlook while pointing to high-end revenue growth [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]. The dated CentroVena, Vystra, and Elyra milestones provide concrete execution hooks beyond generic quarterly cadence.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Execution risk as BD completes its portfolio reshaping and focuses on the New BD strategy.
Momentum
75
Value
59
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $183.00 · Bull $195.00 · Bear $160.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $193.31
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d +10.0
Value59 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +0.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Execution risk as BD completes its portfolio reshaping and focuses on the New BD strategy.
- • No post-print analyst target changes, estimate revisions, or independently attributed market-reaction explanation are available in the packet.
- • Portfolio reshaping and the New BD transition remain execution-sensitive.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
Q3 FY26 beat and raised full-year outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
75
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+10.0
Δ21d
+7.2
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-14.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 74.6 / Value 59.1 / Sentiment 46.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$183.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$53.12B
Beta
0.25
Shares Out
272.39M
P/E (TTM)
34.2
P/S (TTM)
2.60
P/FCF (TTM)
38.46
Rev YoY
+5.4%
EPS YoY
-31.4%
Gross Margin
+46.4%
Op Margin
+14.5%
Net Debt
$19.16B
Current Ratio
0.87
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data