B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BDC
BeldenBNYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Belden exited 2025 with record revenue, record adjusted EPS, 6% organic full-year growth, and double-digit Automation growth, so even modest follow-through could support a rerating from current levels [#8-K-2026-02-12].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.9.
What can break
If Q1 2026 misses guidance, the stock could de-rate further given the current negative directional prior.
Momentum
73
Value
61
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $136.00 · Bull $160.00 · Bear $112.00Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $156.20
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -2.7
Value61 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d -4.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • If Q1 2026 misses guidance, the stock could de-rate further given the current negative directional prior.
- • Project timing and channel/inventory variability can swing quarterly demand.
- • The deterministic prior is negative, Smart Infrastructure was flat in Q4, Q1 guidance only implies modest sequential follow-through, and the new single-segment model may reduce transparency if demand softens or mix worsens.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-14
Debt refinancing removes a maturity overhang but raises interest cost
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.7
Δ21d
-21.0
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.9
Δ21d
+10.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 72.8 / Value 61.2 / Sentiment 65.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$136.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.38B
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
39.08M
P/E (TTM)
20.9
P/S (TTM)
1.73
P/FCF (TTM)
22.43
Rev YoY
+11.6%
EPS YoY
+14.4%
Gross Margin
+35.8%
Op Margin
+12.7%
Net Debt
$1.02B
Current Ratio
2.14
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data