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BCPC

BalchemB
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q2 results, growth across all three segments, healthy demand commentary, and continued specialty-nutrition adoption support a constructive medium-term thesis. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.9.
What can break
Forward guidance and detailed second-half operating visibility are not provided in the usable filing excerpts.
Momentum
50
Value
50
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $200.00 · Bull $225.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $209.25
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d +1.8
Value50 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +8.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Forward guidance and detailed second-half operating visibility are not provided in the usable filing excerpts.
  • • Higher input costs and geopolitical uncertainty could offset operating leverage and margin gains.
  • • The earnings packet lacks verified post-print analyst revisions, rating changes, estimate changes, and market-reaction attribution.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-31

Q2 earnings confirmed broad-based momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
50
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
-5.4
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.9
Δ21d
+8.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 50.3 / Value 49.9 / Sentiment 76.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.69B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
31.88M
P/E (TTM)
34.2
P/S (TTM)
4.99
P/FCF (TTM)
37.92
Rev YoY
+11.2%
EPS YoY
+18.3%
Gross Margin
+36.3%
Op Margin
+21.2%
Net Debt
$106.12M
Current Ratio
2.66
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data