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BCE

BCEC
NYSE / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Stronger wireless pricing, sustained fibre additions and monetizable AI Fabric demand could improve earnings and cash generation beyond today's cautious expectations. BCE cited Q2 Internet revenue growth and lower postpaid churn.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
BCE reaffirmed 2026 free-cash-flow guidance of C$2.1–2.3 billion while projecting approximately 20% capital intensity; data-centre construction is a material cash-use and execution risk. #PR-2026-08-06
Momentum
33
Value
58
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.00 · Bull $24.50 · Bear $16.00Analysis 2026-10-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $25.96
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d +11.4
Value58 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -3.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • BCE reaffirmed 2026 free-cash-flow guidance of C$2.1–2.3 billion while projecting approximately 20% capital intensity; data-centre construction is a material cash-use and execution risk. #PR-2026-08-06
  • • Higher depreciation and interest expense are among BCE's stated reasons for expected adjusted EPS decline in 2026. #PR-2026-08-06
  • • AI data-centre and Ziply Fiber investment may keep free cash flow and deleveraging under pressure even if revenue grows.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-05

November 5 Q3 results: cash flow and leverage test

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
33
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.4
Δ21d
+3.0
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-26.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 33.2 / Value 58.5 / Sentiment 58.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$18.74B
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
932.53M
P/E (TTM)
4.9
P/S (TTM)
1.24
P/FCF (TTM)
23.96
Rev YoY
+1.5%
EPS YoY
-3.8%
Gross Margin
+30.8%
Op Margin
+21.6%
Net Debt
$29.72B
Current Ratio
0.65
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data