B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BBY
Best BuyCNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The strongest primary-source bull point is that Q1 beat management's own setup: comparable sales grew 2.0%, most major categories were positive, and gaming, computing, mobile phones and services led the growth while full-year FY27 adjusted EPS guidance was maintained at $6.30 to $6.60 [#SEC-8K-2026-05-28]. If Q2 holds around the guided margin profile despite tougher gaming comparisons, the market can keep underwriting earnings stability.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-12.
What can break
Appliances declined in Q1 and lower product margin rates still offset part of the benefit from Marketplace, Best Buy Ads and services mix [#SEC-8K-2026-05-28].
Momentum
86
Value
62
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $80.00 · Bull $92.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-07-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $87.16
Why
Momentum86 · Δ7d +0.3
Value62 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -2.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-12.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Appliances declined in Q1 and lower product margin rates still offset part of the benefit from Marketplace, Best Buy Ads and services mix [#SEC-8K-2026-05-28].
- • Matt Bilunas is leaving the CFO role on July 31, 2026 while the company also prepares for a CEO transition on November 1, 2026, increasing succession and execution risk [#8-K-2026-06-22].
- • The bear case is that the guidance was only maintained rather than raised, Q2 comparable-sales outlook already slows to about 1.0%, appliances were still down, and lower product margin rates remain a real offset to the newer ads/marketplace/services profit streams [#SEC-8K-2026-05-28].
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
CFO handoff is a real summer execution checkpoint
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
86
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+6.8
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
46
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-6.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 86.1 / Value 62.5 / Sentiment 45.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$18.01B
Beta
1.46
Shares Out
210.77M
P/E (TTM)
23.1
P/S (TTM)
0.35
P/FCF (TTM)
20.62
Rev YoY
+1.9%
EPS YoY
+37.7%
Gross Margin
+22.5%
Op Margin
+4.3%
Net Debt
$1.96B
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data