B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BBSI
Barrett Business ServicesDNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Revenue and gross-billings growth, record client additions, improving workers’ compensation pricing, debt-free status, and ongoing buybacks support a recovery case. The reported median analyst target of $40.75 implies upside from the $32.24 anchor, but the target count is unavailable.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Continued softness in client hiring and workforce reductions could limit WSE and gross-billings growth.
Momentum
31
Value
53
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.75 · Bull $40.75 · Bear $27.40Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $40.75
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d -5.1
Value53 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Continued softness in client hiring and workforce reductions could limit WSE and gross-billings growth.
- • Margin recovery depends on execution in newer markets and the timing of cumulative pricing actions.
- • Q2 adjusted EPS was reported at $0.52 versus $0.56 expected, while operating margin fell to 4.8% from 7.5% a year earlier.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-05
Q2 results and 2026 outlook reset
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
31
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.1
Δ21d
+5.4
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-18.8
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 30.7 / Value 52.6 / Sentiment 50.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$30.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$27.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$805.09M
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
24.24M
P/E (TTM)
17.8
P/S (TTM)
0.78
P/FCF (TTM)
51.44
Rev YoY
+3.8%
EPS YoY
-26.0%
Gross Margin
+19.3%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
-$229.94M
Current Ratio
1.14
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data