B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.46
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
BBD
Banco Bradesco n-vtg PfdCNYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: Material macro and FX improvement (BRL appreciation, lower inflation) combined with continued fee-income growth and falling credit costs could lift the ADR toward the bull target (~+35% from the anchor to 4.46). This outcome requires a notable recovery in investor risk appetite and is conditional on macro/FX, not company-specific moves alone.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.2.
What can break
BRL volatility and currency translation risk impacting USD ADR returns [#BCB]
Momentum
24
Value
63
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.47 · Bull $4.46 · Bear $2.48Analysis 2025-09-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.63
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d +9.0
Value63 · Δ7d +10.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -2.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • BRL volatility and currency translation risk impacting USD ADR returns [#BCB]
- • Higher-than-expected loan-loss provisions / asset-quality deterioration [#BradescoIR]
- • Bear case: BRL weakness, rising loan-loss provisions, or regulatory capital surprise would compress NIMs and lower USD returns, driving the ADR toward the bear target (~-25% from the anchor to 2.48).
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Regulatory or capital requirement surprise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.0
Δ21d
+13.8
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.0
Δ21d
+10.0
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-19.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 23.9 / Value 63.2 / Sentiment 63.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$3.47
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.48
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$32.73B
Beta
1.53
Shares Out
5.58B
P/E (TTM)
8.7
P/S (TTM)
1.27
P/FCF (TTM)
7.32
Rev YoY
+29.1%
EPS YoY
+32.1%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+8.0%
Net Debt
$116.94B
Current Ratio
0.69
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data